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Revista de Matemática Teoría y Aplicaciones

Print version ISSN 1409-2433

Rev. Mat vol.26 n.1 San José Jan./Jun. 2019

http://dx.doi.org/10.15517/rmta.v26i1.35529 

Artículo

The role of short-term immigration on disease dynamics: an sir model with age-structure

El rol de la immigración en periodos cortos sobre la dinámica de enfermedades: un modelo sir con estructura de edad

Fabio Sánchez1 

Juan G. Calvo2 

1Centro de Investigación en Matemática Pura y Aplicada (CIMPA) - Escuela de Matemática, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica. E-Mail: fabio.sanchez@ucr.ac.cr

2Misma dirección que/Same address as: F. Sánchez. Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa RicaE-Mail: juan.calvo@ucr.ac.cr

Abstract

[14]

We formulate an age-structured nonlinear partial differential equation model that features short-term immigration effects in a population. In- dividuals can immigrate into the population as any of the three stages in the model: susceptible, infected or recovered. Global stability of the immigration-free and infection-free equilibria is discussed. A generalized numerical framework is established and specific short-term immigration scenarios are explored.

Keywords: age-structured model; epidemic models; immigration; migratory effects; finite difference methods

Resumen

[18]

Se formula un modelo de ecuaciones diferenciales parciales no lineal y con estructura de edad, que incluye inmigración en un periodo breve de tiempo y sus efectos en la población. Los inmigrantes pueden ser de cualquier clase en el modelo: susceptibles, infectados o recuperados. Se discute además la estabilidad global del equilibrio correspondiente al mo- delo libre de infección e inmigración. Un método numérico general es discutido, y se exploran escenarios específicos con inmigración en perio- dos cortos de tiempo.

Palabras clave: modelo con estructura de edad; modelos epidémicos; inmi- gración; efectos migratorios; métodos de diferencias finitas

Mathematics Subject Classification: 92D25, 92D30, 35Q92, 65M06.

[26]

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the Research Center in Pure and Applied Math- ematics and the Mathematics Department at Universidad de Costa Rica for their support during the preparation of this manuscript. We would also like to thank the research vice-chancellor for the support of project 821-B8-747.

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Received: November 16, 2018; Accepted: December 12, 2018

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