<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1659-0201</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Población y Salud en Mesoamérica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[PSM]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1659-0201</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Costa Rica. Centro Centroamericano de Población]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1659-02012021000100301</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15517/psm.v18i2.43577</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Tendência e diferenças regionais de homicídios masculinos por arma de fogo em um estado da Amazônia Legal, Brasil]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Regional trends and differences in male homicides by firearms in a state in the Legal Amazon, Brazil]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Tendencias y diferencias regionales en los homicidios masculinos por armas de fuego en un estado de la Amazonia Legal, Brasil]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Carlo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Franciele Silvia de]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Oliveira]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ligia Regina de]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[de Souza Andrade]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Amanda Cristina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso - UFMT Instituto de Saúde Coletiva ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso - UFMT Instituto de Saúde Coletiva ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso - UFMT Instituto de Saúde Coletiva ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>18</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>301</fpage>
<lpage>328</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1659-02012021000100301&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1659-02012021000100301&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1659-02012021000100301&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo: Objetivos: Analisar a tendência e projetar a taxa de homicídios por arma de fogo em homens jovens, segundo macrorregião de saúde, no estado de Mato Grosso, Brasil. Metodologia: Estudo ecológico, exploratório, de tendência temporal que utilizou dados do Sistema de Informação sobre Mortalidade. Taxas de mortalidade padronizada pela população mundial foram calculadas. Para modelagem da série e predição da taxa de homicídio por arma de fogo para o período de 2018 a 2022 utilizou-se o modelo auto regressivo de ordem um - AR (1). Resultados: A macrorregião Centro Norte apresentou as maiores taxas de mortalidade por arma de fogo na maior parte dos anos. A menor taxa do período ocorreu em 2013, na macrorregião Leste. Assim como todo o estado de Mato Grosso, as macrorregiões Norte, Oeste, Sul apresentaram tendência crescente e significativa, enquanto nas macrorregiões Leste, Centro Norte e Centro Noroeste as taxas se mantiveram estáveis. Conclusão: A mortalidade de jovens do sexo masculino por armas de fogo foi elevada especialmente nas macrorregiões mais urbanizadas, com conflitos agrários e região de fronteira. Se as estratégias não forem mudadas, as taxas de homicídios de homens jovens por armas de fogo no Mato Grosso continuarão altas e/ou crescentes.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Objectives: To analyze the trend and project the firearm homicide rate in young men, according to the health macro-region, in the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil. Methodology: Ecological, exploratory, time trend study that used data from the Mortality Information System. Mortality rates standardized by the world population were calculated. To model the series and predict the firearm homicide rate for the period from 2018 to 2022, the order one autoregressive model - AR (1) was used. Results: The Centro Norte macro-region had the highest firearm mortality rates in most years. The lowest rate in the period occurred in 2013, in the East macro-region. As with the entire state of Mato Grosso, the North, West, South macroregions showed an increasing and significant trend, while in the East, Central North and Central Northwest macroregions the rates remained stable. Conclusion:The mortality of young males by firearms was high especially in the most urbanized macro-regions, with agrarian conflicts and the border region. If the strategies are not changed, homicide rates of young men by firearms in Mato Grosso will continue to be high and/or increasing.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Objetivos: Analizar la tendencia y proyectar la tasa de homicidios por arma de fuego en hombres jóvenes, según la macrorregión de salud, en el estado de Mato Grosso, Brasil. Metodología: Estudio ecológico, exploratorio, de tendencia temporal que utilizó datos del Sistema de Información de Mortalidad. Se calcularon las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas por la población mundial. Para modelar la serie y predecir la tasa de homicidios por arma de fuego para el período de 2018 a 2022, se utilizó el modelo autoregresivo de orden uno: AR (1). Resultados: La macrorregión Centro Norte tuvo las tasas de mortalidad por armas de fuego más altas en la mayoría de los años. La tasa más baja del período se produjo en 2013, en la macrorregión Este. Al igual que en todo el estado de Mato Grosso, las macrorregiones Norte, Oeste y Sur mostraron una tendencia creciente y significativa, mientras que en las macrorregiones Este, Centro Norte y Centro Noroeste las tasas se mantuvieron estables. Conclusión: La mortalidad de varones jóvenes por armas de fuego fue alta especialmente en las macrorregiones más urbanizadas, con conflictos agrarios y la región fronteriza. Si no se cambian las estrategias, las tasas de homicidio de hombres jóvenes por armas de fuego en Mato Grosso seguirán siendo altas y/o en aumento.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Homicídio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Violência com arma de fogo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Disparidades nos níveis de saúde]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Homens.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Homicide]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Gun violence]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Health Status Disparities]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Men.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Homicidio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Violencia con armas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Disparidades en el estado de salud]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Hombres.]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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