<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1409-2433</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista de Matemática Teoría y Aplicaciones]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mat]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1409-2433</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Investigaciones en Matemática Pura y Aplicada (CIMPA) y Escuela de Matemática, San José, Costa Rica.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1409-24332016000100241</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Proyecciones demográficas y actuariales por medio del método de Cadenas de Markov con Monte Carlo]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Demographic and actuarial projections by means of Monte Carlo Markov Chains]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Morales Garay]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ismael]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castro Esquivel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marlyn]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Costa Rica Escuela de Matemática ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ San José]]></addr-line>
<country>CR</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Costa Rica Escuela de Matemática ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ San José]]></addr-line>
<country>CR</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>23</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>241</fpage>
<lpage>253</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1409-24332016000100241&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1409-24332016000100241&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1409-24332016000100241&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[ResumenSe presenta una descripción del uso del método de las Cadenas de Markov por Monte Carlo para realizar las proyecciones demográficas actuariales, tomando como insumo las tablas de mortalidad, invalidez, mortalidad para inválidos para la población activa del fondo de pensiones del Magisterio Nacional de Costa Rica. Se incluyen ejemplos de la forma en que se implementa el método en la Junta de Pensiones y Jubilaciones del Magisterio Nacional de Costa Rica, que son parte de la información clave para la realización de las Valuaciones Actuariales del Régimen de Pensiones de los educadores.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[AbstractA description of the method of Monte Carlo Markov Chains is presented for actuarial demographic forecast, in regard to the mortality, disability, mortality of disabled lives among others. We include examples of how the method is implemented in the Pensions and Retirements Fund for Teachers in Costa Rica, as a input for the results of the actuarial valuation of the pension plan.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[simulación Monte Carlo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cadenas de Markov]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[probabilidades]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[demografía]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[proyecciones actuariales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Monte Carlo simulation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[probability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[demography]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[actuarial forecast]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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</back>
</article>
