<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0256-7024</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Geológica de América Central]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Geol. Amér. Central]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0256-7024</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Costa Rica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0256-70242022000100126</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15517/rgac.v66i0.49999</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Análisis del riesgo derivado de la amenaza de la inestabilidad de laderas bajo influencia del calentamiento global antropogénico: propuesta de un enfoque metodológico]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Slope instability hazard and risk analysis under the influence of anthropogenic global warming: proposal for a methodological approach]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mora]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Sergio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,ARX Consultores  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Costa Rica</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>66</numero>
<fpage>126</fpage>
<lpage>151</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0256-70242022000100126&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0256-70242022000100126&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0256-70242022000100126&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Si el escenario de que el calentamiento global antropogénico (CGA) aumentaría las precipitaciones en algunos microclimas, podrían modificarse a mediano y largo plazo, los procesos de la geodinámica externa. En áreas con equilibrios hídricos inestables, CGA se superpondría a la variabilidad climática y otros factores naturales y antropogénicos: vulnerabilidad, terremotos, volcanismo, expansión urbana e infraestructural, El Niño-La Niña/ENOS, degradación de tierras. La inestabilidad de laderas sería más destructiva social, ambiental y económicamente, por lo cual conviene redefinir las prioridades de las políticas públicas, toma de decisiones y gestión del riesgo. Se propone un procedimiento analítico para áreas con microclimas influenciados por el CGA en donde aumentarían la intensidad, duración, frecuencia, volumen de las lluvias y el desequilibrio hídrico. Asimismo, ascenderían progresivamente el nivel freático y la presión intersticial, y las lluvias intensas críticas reducirían su período de recurrencia. La gestión del riesgo, apoyada en la geotecnia, deberá centrarse en acciones que reduzcan y transfieran el riesgo y disminuyan la vulnerabilidad, como mejor instrumento de adaptación para contrarrestar cualquier amenaza.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Rainfall rates may be modified, in the mid to long term in some microclimates, by the influence of anthropogenic global warming (AGW). If true in areas with unstable hydric balances AGW is likely to become superimposed to climate variability and other hazards, both natural and human: vulnerability, earthquakes, volcanoes, urban and infrastructural expansion, El Niño-La Niña-ENSO, land degradation. Slope instability hazards may become more destructive socially, economically, and environmentally. It is critical to redefine priorities in policy, decision-making, and risk management. An analytical procedure is proposed for areas with microclimate conditions prone to escalate rainfall intensity, duration, frequency, volume, and its resulting hydric unbalances. Progressive rises in water table and interstitial pressure resulting from intense rainfalls, with smaller return periods, may lead to higher water tables and earlier conditions for slope failure. Risk management, supported by Engineering Geology must focus on reducing and transferring risk and decrease vulnerability, as the best adaptation instrument to face any hazard.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[amenaza de inestabilidad de laderas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[deslizamientos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[gestión del riesgo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[adaptación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[slope instability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[landslide hazard]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[risk management]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[adaptation]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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