<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0034-7744</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista de Biología Tropical]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. biol. trop]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0034-7744</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Costa Rica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0034-77442017000200565</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15517/rbt.v65i2.24709</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Modeling of Equivalent Effective Temperature and its possible incidence on larval density of Anopheles mosquitoes (Diptera: Culicidae) in Villa Clara province, Cuba]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelación de la Temperatura Efectiva Equivalente y posible incidencia en la densidad larval de mosquitos Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) en la provincia Villa Clara, Cuba]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fimia Duarte]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Rigoberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alarcón-Elbal]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pedro María]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Osés Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ricardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Argota Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[George]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Iannacone Oliver]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Capote Cabrera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Ciencias Médicas«Dr. Serafín Ruiz de Zárate Ruiz» Facultad de Tecnología de Salud «Julio Trigo López». ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>CU</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Agroforestal Fernando Arturo de Meriño  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[arabacoa ]]></addr-line>
<country>DO</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Centro Meteorológico  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Villa Clara ]]></addr-line>
<country>CU</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af4">
<institution><![CDATA[,Centro de Investigaciones Avanzadas y Formación en Educación, Salud y Medio Ambiente  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Puno ]]></addr-line>
<country>PE</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af5">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Federico Villarreal Laboratorio de Ecología y Biodiversidad Animal ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Lima ]]></addr-line>
<country>PE</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>65</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>565</fpage>
<lpage>573</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0034-77442017000200565&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0034-77442017000200565&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0034-77442017000200565&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[AbstractThe wind chill or Equivalent Effective Temperature (EET) is the thermic sensation that a person feels when being exposed to a certain combination of temperature from the air, relative humidity and wind velocity. The objective of this investigation was directed to determine the possible incidence of the EET upon the larval density of Anopheles mosquitoes in Villa Clara province, Cuba. The Climatological data were compiled from the Yabú station in Santa Clara, and a total of 5 370 measurements were included in a database every three hours, using the aggregate function of the Statistical Package of Social Science software version 13 (SPSS), from January 1st, 2011 to September 30th, 2013. A long term forecast (1 year of advance) was made to obtain EET and the Anopheles larval density in the locality of Santo Domingo was modelled. These entomological data were taken at the same time but monthly, so the EET data were converted to monthly scale to be correlated with the monthly data of the larval density. The result was a 97.1 % of variance with a standard error (SE) of 3.57 °C for the model of the EET with a year of anticipation; therefore, the tendency in time was significant. The modeling also included the Anopheles larval density of mosquitoes in Santo Domingo, Villa Clara province, observing an increase of the EET, while the Anopheles mosquito larvae also increased. The most important variables in the model were the EET that were back in 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 16, 24, 40 for the previous year; that is to say 2 920, 2 921, and so on, which explained a strong contagion among the data. EET correlation compared with itself in previous year was high; therefore, it may be used as a predictable variable. The anophelinic density in Santo Domingo explained the 66 % of the variance, with a SE of 0.66 larvae.m-2. The tendency of the Anopheles larval density was to diminish. In conclusion, EET has an important impact in larval density of Anopheles with EET increase associated with larval density decrease.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[ResumenLa Temperatura Efectiva Equivalente (TEE) es la sensación térmica que siente una persona frente a una determinada combinación de temperatura del aire, humedad relativa y velocidad del viento. El objetivo de la investigación fue determinar la posible incidencia de la TEE sobre la densidad larval de mosquitos del género Anopheles en la provincia Villa Clara, Cuba. Una base de datos recogió medidas climatológicos cada tres horas durante el periodo comprendido entre el 1 de enero 2011 hasta el 30 de septiembre 2013, proveyendo un total de 5 370 medidas de la estación Yabú de Santa Clara. Se realizó un pronóstico a largo plazo (1 año) para obtener la TEE y se modeló la densidad larvaria total de mosquitos en la localidad de Santo Domingo. Los datos entomológicos fueron recogidos en el mismo lapso temporal pero con una periodicidad mensual, por lo que los datos de TEE fueron convertidos a escala mensual para poder ser empleados con los datos de densidad larvaria. Para la modelación se utilizó la Metodología de Regresión Objetiva Regresiva que explicó el 97.1 % de varianza con un error estándar (SE) de 3.57 ºC para el modelo de TEE con un año de antelación; la tendencia en el tiempo fue significativa al aumento. Además, al modelar la densidad larvaria anofelínica en el municipio Santo Domingo, se observó que a medida que aumenta la TEE, disminuye la densidad larval anofelínica. La variable más importante en el modelo fue la TEE regresada en 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 16, 24, 40, pero del año anterior, es decir 2 920, 2 921, y así sucesivamente, explicando un contagio muy fuerte entre los datos. Ello fue debido a que la correlación de TEE con ella misma en años anteriores fue alta, por lo que puede ser utilizada como variable predictora. El modelo de densidad larval anofelínica en Santo Domingo explicó el 66 % de la varianza, con un SE de 0.06 larvas/m2. La tendencia de la DLA fue a la disminución. En conclusión, la TEE tuvo una incidencia directamente proporcional en la densidad larval anofelínica, ya que a medida que aumentaba este indicador, disminuyó la densidad larval anofelínica.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Anopheles]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[larval density]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[modeling]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Equivalent Effective Temperature]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Villa Clara]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Cuba]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Anopheles]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[densidad larval]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Temperatura Efectiva Equivalente]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Villa Clara]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Cuba.]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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