<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0034-7744</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista de Biología Tropical]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. biol. trop]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0034-7744</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Costa Rica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0034-77442014000700012</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Large-scale coral recruitment patterns on Mona Island, Puerto Rico: evidence of a transitional community trajectory after massive coral bleaching and mortality]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Patrones a gran escala del reclutamiento de coral en Isla Mona, Puerto Rico: evidencia de una trayectoria transitoria de comunidad después del blanqueamiento y mortalidad coralino masivo]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández-Delgado]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Edwin A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González-Ramos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carmen M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A03"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alejandro-Camis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pedro J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Puerto Rico  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[San Juan ]]></addr-line>
<country>PR</country>
</aff>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,Sociedad Ambiente Marino  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ San Juan]]></addr-line>
<country>PR</country>
</aff>
<aff id="A03">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Puerto Rico  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ San Juan]]></addr-line>
<country>PR</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>62</volume>
<fpage>283</fpage>
<lpage>298</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0034-77442014000700012&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0034-77442014000700012&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0034-77442014000700012&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Coral reefs have largely declined across the northeastern Caribbean following the 2005 massive bleaching event. Climate change-related sea surface warming and coral disease outbreaks of a white plague-like syndrome and of yellow band disease (YBD) have caused significant coral decline affecting massive reef building species (i.e., Orbicella annularis species complex) which show no apparent signs of recovery through larval sexual recruitment. We addressed coral recruit densities across three spur and groove reef locations along the western shelf of remote Mona Island, Puerto Rico: Punta Capitán (PCA), Pasa de Las Carmelitas (PLC), and Las Carmelitas-South (LCS). Data were collected during November 2012 along 93 haphazard transects across three depth zones (<5m, 5-10m, 10-15m). A total of 32 coral species (9 octocorals, 1 hydrocoral, 22 scleractinians) were documented among the recruit community. Communities had low densities and dominance by short-lived brooder species seven years after the 2005 event. Mean coral recruit density ranged from 1.2 to 10.5/m2 at PCA, 6.3 to 7.2/m² at LCS, 4.5 to 9.5/m² at PLC. Differences in coral recruit community structure can be attributed to slight variation in percent macroalgal cover and composition as study sites had nearly similar benthic spatial heterogeneity. Dominance by ephemeral coral species was widespread. Recovery of largely declining massive reef-building species such as the O. annularis species complex was limited or non-existent. The lack of recovery could be the combined result of several mechanisms involving climate change, YBD disease, macroalgae, fishing, urchins and Mona Island&#8217;s reefs limited connectivity to other reef systems. There is also for rehabilitation of fish trophic structure, with emphasis in recovering herbivore guilds and depleted populations of D. antillarum. Failing to recognize the importance of ecosystem-based management and resilience rehabilitation may deem remote coral reefs recovery unlikely.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Los arrecifes de coral han disminuido en gran medida en el noreste del Caribe después de los blanqueamientos y muerte masiva de coral en el 2005. El calentamiento superficial del mar relacionado con el cambio climático y brotes de enfermedades en corales como el sindrome de plaga blanca y la enfermedad de banda amarilla (YBD) han causado una disminución significativa de coral de arrecife afectando las especies constructoras de coral (es decir, el complejo de especies Orbicella annularisOrbicella annularis) que no muestran signos evidentes de recuperación a través del reclutamiento larval sexual. Nos centramos en las densidades de coral recluta en tres sitios de coral espuela y surco a lo largo de la plataforma occidental de la remota Isla de Mona, Puerto Rico: Punta Capitán (PCA), Pasa de Las Carmelitas (PLC) y Las Carmelitas-Sur (LCS). Los datos fueron recolectados durante noviembre de 2012 a lo largo de 93 transectos a través de tres zonas de profundidad (<5m, 5-10m, 10-15m). Se documentaron un total de 32 especies de corales (9 octocorales, 1 hidrocoral, 22 scleractinios) entre la comunidad coral recluta. Comunidades de coral recluta mostraron bajas densidades y predominancia por especies criadoras rápidas durante siete años después del evento del 2005. La densidad coral recluta varió entre 1.2 y 10.5/m² en el PCA, 6.3 y 7.2/m² en LCS, 4.5 a 9.5/m² en el PLC. Diferencias en la estructura de la comunidad coral recluta pueden atribuirse a la ligera variación en el porcentaje de cobertura de macroalgas y composición en los sitios de estudio que tenían una heterogeneidad espacial bentónica muy similar. Tendencias en el predominio de las especies de coral efímeras fueron generalizadas. Recuperación de especies de arrecife con alta disminución como la especie O. annularis del complejo de especies fue muy limitado e incluso inexistente a través de zonas extensas de arrecife. La falta de recuperación puede ser el resultado combinado de varios mecanismos que implican cambio climático, brotes crónicos de YBD, macroalgas, pesca, erizos y conectividad limitada de los arrecifes de la isla Mona a otros sistemas de arrecife. También hay una necesidad de impulsar la rehabilitación de la estructura trófica de peces, con énfasis en la recuperación de gremios herbívoros y las poblaciones agotadas de D. antillarum. Al no reconocer la importancia de la gestión de rehabilitación y capacidad de recuperación basado en los ecosistemas se estima que la recuperación de arrecifes de coral es muy improbable.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[coral decline]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[coral recruitment]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[community trajectory]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mona Island]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Puerto Rico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[transitional state]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[disminución de coral]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[reclutamiento]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[trayectoria de comunidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[isla Mona]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Puerto Rico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[estado transitorio]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[ <div style="text-align: justify;">     <div style="text-align: center;"><font style="font-weight: bold;"  size="4"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Large-scale coral recruitment patterns on Mona Island, Puerto Rico: evidence of a transitional community trajectory after massive coral bleaching and mortality    <br>     <br> </span></font><font style="font-weight: bold;" size="4"><span  style="font-family: verdana;">Patrones a gran escala del reclutamiento de coral en Isla Mona, Puerto Rico: evidencia de una trayectoria transitoria de comunidad despu&eacute;s del blanqueamiento y mortalidad coralino masivo</span></font><font size="2"><span  style="font-family: verdana;"></span></font><br  style="font-family: verdana;"> </div> <br style="font-family: verdana;">     <div style="text-align: center;"><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Edwin A.     Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado<sup><a href="#1">1</a><a name="4"></a>*,<a      href="#2">2</a><a name="5"></a>*</sup>, Carmen M.     Gonz&aacute;lez-Ramos<sup><a href="#1">1</a>,<a href="#2">2</a>,<a      href="#3">3</a><a name="6"></a>*</sup>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[&amp;     Pedro J. Alejandro-Camis<a href="#2"><sup>2</sup></a></span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     </div>     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"></span></font>     <hr style="width: 100%; height: 2px;"><font style="font-weight: bold;"      size="3"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Abstract</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Coral reefs have     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[largely declined     across the northeastern Caribbean following the 2005 massive bleaching     event. Climate change-related sea surface warming and coral disease     outbreaks of a white plague-like syndrome and of yellow band disease     (YBD) have caused significant coral decline affecting massive reef     building species (i.e., <span style="font-style: italic;">Orbicella     annularis</span> species complex) which show     no apparent signs of recovery through larval sexual recruitment. We     addressed coral recruit densities across three spur and groove reef     locations along the western shelf of remote Mona Island, Puerto Rico:     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Punta Capit&aacute;n (PCA), Pasa de Las Carmelitas (PLC), and Las     Carmelitas-South (LCS). Data were collected during November 2012 along     93 haphazard transects across three depth zones (&lt;5m, 5-10m,     10-15m). A total of 32 coral species (9 octocorals, 1 hydrocoral, 22     scleractinians) were documented among the recruit community.     Communities had low densities and dominance by short-lived brooder     species seven years after the 2005 event. Mean coral recruit density     ranged from 1.2 to 10.5/m2 at PCA, 6.3 to 7.2/m<sup>2</sup> at LCS, 4.5     to 9.5/</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[at PLC. Differences in coral recruit community structure can be     attributed to slight variation in percent macroalgal cover and     composition as study sites had nearly similar benthic spatial     heterogeneity. Dominance by ephemeral coral species was widespread.     Recovery of largely declining massive reef-building species such as the     <span style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span> species complex     was limited or non-existent. The lack of     recovery could be the combined result of several mechanisms involving     climate change, YBD disease, macroalgae, fishing, urchins and Mona     Island&#8217;s reefs limited connectivity to other reef systems. There is     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[also for rehabilitation of fish trophic structure, with emphasis in     recovering herbivore guilds and depleted populations of <span      style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span>.     Failing to recognize the importance of ecosystem-based management and     resilience rehabilitation may deem remote coral reefs recovery unlikely.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-weight: bold;">Key words: </span>Climate change, coral     decline, coral recruitment, community trajectory, Mona Island, Puerto     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Rico, transitional state.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font style="font-weight: bold;" size="3"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Resumen</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Los arrecifes de     coral han     disminuido en     gran medida en el noreste del Caribe despu&eacute;s de los     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[blanqueamientos y muerte masiva de coral en el 2005. El calentamiento     superficial del mar relacionado con el cambio clim&aacute;tico y brotes     de enfermedades en corales como el sindrome de plaga blanca y la     enfermedad de banda amarilla (YBD) han causado una disminuci&oacute;n     significativa de coral de arrecife afectando las especies constructoras     de coral (es decir, el complejo de especies </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">Orbicella annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">Orbicella annularis</span></span></font><font     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">) que no     muestran signos evidentes de recuperaci&oacute;n a trav&eacute;s del     reclutamiento larval sexual. Nos centramos en las densidades de coral     recluta en tres sitios de coral espuela y surco a lo largo de la     plataforma occidental de la remota Isla de Mona, Puerto Rico: Punta     Capit&aacute;n (PCA), Pasa de Las Carmelitas (PLC) y Las Carmelitas-Sur     (LCS). Los datos fueron recolectados durante noviembre de 2012 a lo     largo de 93 transectos a trav&eacute;s de tres zonas de profundidad     (&lt;5m, 5-10m, 10-15m). Se documentaron un total de 32 especies de     corales (9 octocorales, 1 hidrocoral, 22 scleractinios) entre la     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[comunidad coral recluta. Comunidades de coral recluta mostraron bajas     densidades y predominancia por especies criadoras r&aacute;pidas     durante siete a&ntilde;os despu&eacute;s del evento del 2005. La     densidad coral recluta vari&oacute; entre 1.2 y 10.5/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> en el PCA, 6.3     y 7.2/</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> en LCS, 4.5 a 9.5/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> en el PLC. Diferencias     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[en la estructura     de la comunidad coral recluta pueden atribuirse a la ligera     variaci&oacute;n en el porcentaje de cobertura de macroalgas y     composici&oacute;n en los sitios de estudio que ten&iacute;an una     heterogeneidad espacial bent&oacute;nica muy similar. Tendencias en el     predominio de las especies de coral ef&iacute;meras fueron     generalizadas. Recuperaci&oacute;n de especies de arrecife con alta     disminuci&oacute;n como la especie </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"> del complejo de     especies fue muy limitado e incluso inexistente a trav&eacute;s de     zonas extensas de arrecife. La falta de recuperaci&oacute;n puede ser     el resultado combinado de varios mecanismos que implican cambio     clim&aacute;tico, brotes cr&oacute;nicos de YBD, macroalgas, pesca,     erizos y conectividad limitada de los arrecifes de la isla Mona a otros     sistemas de arrecife. Tambi&eacute;n hay una necesidad de impulsar la     rehabilitaci&oacute;n de la estructura tr&oacute;fica de peces, con     &eacute;nfasis en la recuperaci&oacute;n de gremios herb&iacute;voros y     las poblaciones agotadas de </span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">D.     antillarum</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">. Al no reconocer la     importancia de la gesti&oacute;n de rehabilitaci&oacute;n y capacidad     de recuperaci&oacute;n basado en los ecosistemas se estima que la     recuperaci&oacute;n de arrecifes de coral es muy improbable.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-weight: bold;">Palabras clave:</span> Cambio     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[clim&aacute;tico, disminuci&oacute;n de coral, reclutamiento,     trayectoria de comunidad, isla Mona, Puerto Rico, estado transitorio</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <br style="font-family: verdana;">     <hr style="width: 100%; height: 2px;"><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Coral larval     recruitment is     critical for the maintenance of reef biodiversity, ecosystem resilience     and benthic community recovery after disturbances across multiple     spatial scales (Gittings, Bright, Choi &amp; Barnett, 1988; Sammarco,     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[1991; Connell, Hughes &amp; Wallace, 1997; Hughes &amp; Tanner, 2000).     Coral recruitment refers to the stage when new members of the recently     settled juvenile corals become visible to be censused (Harrison &amp;     Wallace, 1990). Open reef space is necessary for settling larvae     (Hughes &amp; Connell, 1999; Kuffner et al., 2006; D&iacute;az-Pulido     et al., 2009), particularly substrates along cryptical microhabitats     and areas dominated by crustose coralline algae (CCA), which are     recognized by coral larvae (Doropoulos, Ward, D&iacute;az-Pulido,     Hoegh-Guldberg &amp; Mumby, 2012). Dynamic processes leading to the     creation of free space open for colonization are important for     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[successful recruitment. Nonetheless, Caribbean coral reef ecosystems     have shown increasing rates of large-scale disturbance, including     hurricanes (Emanuel, 2005; Mann &amp; Emanuel, 2007), massive coral     bleaching events (Miller et al., 2006; 2009), widespread disease     outbreaks (Cr&oacute;quer &amp; Weil, 2009; Weil &amp; Cr&oacute;quer,     2009), and the massive die off of the Long-spine urchin, <span      style="font-style: italic;">Diadema     antillarum</span> (Phillipi 1845) (Lessios, 1988; Gardner et al.,     2003), with     paramount long-term impacts in adult coral assemblages and in the     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[overall benthic community composition (Hughes, Reed &amp; Boyle, 1987;     Hughes, 1994; McClanahan &amp; Muthiga, 1998; Rogers &amp; Miller,     2006; Miller et al., 2009; Edmunds, 2013).</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Juvenile coral depth     distribution     often follows the distribution of adult parental colonies (Bak &amp;     Engel, 1979; Harriott, 1985). But Caribbean-wide coral reef decline has     been characterized by significant losses in percent live tissue cover     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[of parental colonies followed up by declining trends in coral     recruitment (Connell, 1997). There is mounting evidence that recent sea     surface warming trends across the Caribbean associated with climate     change resulted in significant shifts in coral reef benthic community     structure due to the long-term impacts of the 2005 widespread massive     coral bleaching that impacted at least 65% of the corals at Mona     Island, including 94% of the colonies of the of Star coral <span      style="font-style: italic;">Orbicella</span>     (<span style="font-style: italic;">=Montastraea</span>) <span      style="font-style: italic;">annularis</span> species complex (Ellis     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[&amp; Solander, 1786)     (Garc&iacute;a-Sais et al., 2008). This event was followed by the     2005-2006 large-scale coral disease outbreak and mortality (Miller et     al., 2009; Edmunds, 2013). Diseases such as yellow band disease (YBD)     significantly compromised the reproductive output of <span      style="font-style: italic;">O. faveolata</span>     (Ellis &amp; Solander, 1786) (Weil, Cr&oacute;quer &amp; Urreiztieta,     2009), and caused a rapid decline within the </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. </span></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> species     complex in Mona Island (Bruckner &amp; Bruckner, 2006; Bruckner &amp;     Hill, 2009). These factors led to massive coral recruitment failure of     multiple species, resulting in a major decline in the natural recovery     ability of critical reef-building species such as </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> (Edmunds     &amp; Elahi, 2007; Hern&aacute;ndez-Pacheco, Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado,     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[&amp; Sabat, 2011). This has further resulted in an irreversible     alteration in the trajectory of coral reef benthic community structure     across very large spatial scales.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Successful coral     recruitment is     critical for sustaining slow-growing, low-recruiting massive coral     species (Harrison &amp; Wallace, 1990; Szmant, 1991). But several     long-term studies have shown very limited sexual recruitment success     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[for the </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> species complex (Rogers et al., 1984;     Edmunds     &amp; Elahi, 2007; Irizarry-Soto &amp; Weil, 2009), even at Mona Island     (Bruckner &amp; Hill, 2009). Edmunds (2004) also found a positive     correlation between juvenile coral density and mean sea surface     temperature (SST), with slower growth and higher mortality under high     SST, in a pattern leading to changes in relative generic abundance.     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[These findings suggest that even such long-term subtle effects could     result in major transitional changes in benthic community composition     and trajectory, with far-reaching ecological consequences for the     survival and resilience of coral reefs. Further, disturbance history     over multiple spatio-temporal scales is also a critical determinant of     coral reef community trajectory. Hurricanes, in combination with     massive coral bleaching events, have resulted in high mortality of     juvenile corals (Harriott, 1985) and declining coral recruitment rates     across large spatial scales (Mumby, 1999; Mallela &amp; Crabbe, 2009).     This could be the result of indirect impacts on recruitment habitat     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[quality which may alter larval selection. Coral larvae have been shown     to be highly selective of habitat conditions for successful recruitment     (Baird, Babcock &amp; Mundy, 2003; Kuffner et al., 2006). Elevated SST     has been shown to alter microbial biofilm community structure     associated to CCA, therefore, altering natural cues for coral larval     recruitment (Webster, Soo, Cobb &amp; Negri, 2011). Doropoulos et al.     (2012) suggested that ocean acidification (OA) may also reduce coral     population recovery by reducing coral larval settlement rates,     disrupting larval settlement behavior, and reducing the availability of     the most desirable coralline algal species for successful coral     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[recruitment.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Climate change has     become one of     the most significant and imminent threats to coral reefs at a global     scale (Hoegh-Guldberg, 1999; Buddemeier et al., 2008). Recent modeling     efforts have suggested that current trends in sea surface warming,     increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration, and OA might have paramount     negative consequences on coral reef ecosystems and their services     (Buddemeier et al., 2008; 2010), as well as in the overall marine     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[productivity (Hoegh-Guldberg et al., 2007; Veron et al., 2009).     According to McWilliams et al. (2005), a rise in regional SST of 0.1&#730;C     resulted in up to 35% and 42% increases in the geographic extent and     intensity of coral bleaching, respectively. Maximum bleaching extent     and intensity are predicted to occur at regional SST anomalies of less     than +1&#730;C (Hoegh-Guldberg, 1999). Coral bleaching is therefore likely     to become a chronic source of stress for Caribbean reefs in the near     future, with a high potential for coral reef decline, and significantly     compromising the natural recovery ability of coralline communities and     ecosystem resilience, including remote islands located far from known     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[pollution centers.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Even remote coral     reefs have     undergone significant recent decline as a result of regional climate     change-related impacts (Goreau, Hayes &amp; McClanahan, 2000;     McClanahan &amp; Muthiga. 1998; McClanahan, 2000; Walther et al., 2002)     and have showed limited recovery ability (Gardner et al., 2005; Sandin     et al., 2008; Birkeland et al., 2013). Coral reef recovery on remote     habitats depends on the functional redundancy of impacted coral     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[assemblages, on the tissue regeneration ability and regrowth of     surviving remnant colonies, and on successful coral recruitment (Golbuu     et al., 2007; D&iacute;az-Pulido et al., 2009). Genetic connectivity     also plays a critical role in natural coral reef recovery (Zubillaga,     M&aacute;rquez, Cr&oacute;quer &amp; Bastidas, 2008). But populations     for many important coral species, particularly across the Caribbean,     show high genetic structuring implying that long-distance larval     dispersal is an unusual event (Baums et al., 2005; 2006; Vollmer &amp;     Palumbi, 2007; Garc&iacute;a-Reyes &amp; Schizas, 2010; M&egrave;ge,     Schizas, Garc&iacute;a-Reyes &amp; Hrbek, 2014), rendering isolated     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[coral reefs to largely rely on remnant colony regrowth, colony     fragmentation, and self-recruitment for their natural recovery from     disturbance. Nonetheless, there is still scarce information regarding     remote coral reef natural recovery rates and the trajectory followed by     benthic communities impacted from disturbance. This study was aimed at     conducting a large scale survey of coral recruit densities on the     western shelf of remote Mona Island, Puerto Rico, to build on earlier     reports by Bruckner and Hill (2009), and address the coral community     trajectory following the 2005-2006 massive coral bleaching and mass     mortality event.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font style="font-weight: bold;" size="3"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Materials and Methods</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-weight: bold;">Study sites:</span> This study was carried     out in November 2012 across three spur and groove fringing reef     locations along the western shelf of Mona Island, Puerto Rico: Punta     Capit&aacute;n (PCA, 18&deg;06.283&#8217;N, 67&deg;56.137&#8217;W), Pasa de Las     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Carmelitas (PLC, 18&deg;06.162&#8217;N, 67&deg;56.229&#8217;W), and Las     Carmelitas-South (LCS, 18&deg;05.995&#8217;N, 67&deg;56.290&#8217;W). Mona is an     oceanic island located 79 km off the western coast of Puerto Rico. Its     origin was during the Miocene to Pliocene (10 to 4 Ma)     (Rodr&iacute;guez, 2012) and was suggested by Gonz&aacute;lez et al.     (1992, 1997) to be the first extensive barrier reef complex reported in     the Caribbean.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-weight: bold;">Coral recruit density:</span> Data was     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[collected along 93 haphazard transects (PCA n=27, PLC n=35, LCS n=31)     across three depth zones (&lt;5m, 5-10m, 10-15m). Sampling sites were     randomly selected to represent replicate reef habitats along similar     depth gradients and similar open substrate space available for     recruitment. A maximum of 6-12 transects were analyzed per depth zone     at each site. Replicate 10 m-long line transects were haphazardly     established along depth contours, often parallel to reef spurs     orientation, and separated by at least 10m. Data were collected using     high-resolution digital photography along 5 replicate, non-overlapping     quadrats per transect (N=465 quadrats) at haphazardly fixed intervals     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[(1, 3, 5, 7, 9m) following a slight modification from the AGGRA method     (Lang, 2002), and at a fixed distance from the bottom using a 40 x 27cm     (0.108</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">) photoquadrat fixed to     the camera housing. Any coral colony     &lt;5cm was treated as a coral recruit. Coral species with sexually     mature small sizes, such as <span style="font-style: italic;">Siderastrea     radians</span> (Pallas, 1766), were     also included in the counts as they were largely abundant across study     sites. Efforts were made to avoid sampling areas with high sediment     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[bedload and efforts were made to remove sediments from the bottom when     looking from recruits. No special efforts were made to remove algae to     test for percent algal cover spatial effects. Percent macroalgal cover     was visually estimated from each image following AGGRA methodology     (Lang, 2002).</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-weight: bold;">Statistical analyses:</span> A two-way     multivariate analysis of similarity (ANOSIM) was used to test the null     hypothesis of no significant difference in coral recruit density,     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[biodiversity parameters, including species diversity index (H&#8217;n,     Shannon &amp; Weaver, 1948), and evenness (J&#8217;n, Pielou 1966), and     community structure among sites and among depth zones using PRIMER-e     v.6.1.14 (Clarke &amp; Warwick, 2001). Principal component ordination     (PCO) was used to determine which benthic taxa abundance explained     spatial clustering patterns of coral recruit communities (Anderson et     al., 2008). PRIMER&#8217;s RELATE multivariate correlation routine was used     to test the relationship between coral recruit abundance and percent     macroalgal cover. Proportional data on coral recruit abundance and     percent macroalgal cover were &#8730;-transformed prior to analysis. All     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[tests were based in 10 000 permutations.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font style="font-weight: bold;" size="3"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Results</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">A total of 347 coral     recruit     colonies of 32 coral species (9 octocorals, 1 hydrocoral, 22     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[scleractinians) was documented, with 99 colonies at PCA, 113 at LCS,     and 135 at PLC (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12t1.gif">Table 1</a>).     This included 17 species at PCA subdivided in     3 species across the shallow reef segment, 11 species across the middle     depth segment, and 13 across the deeper segment. There were also 15     species at LCS subdivided in 8 species across shallow, 7 across the     middle, and 10 across the deeper segment. A total of 18 species of     coral recruits were observed at PLC, with 9 species across the shallow,     8 across the middle, and 16 across the deeper zone. Coral recruit     community structure was significantly different among locations     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[(<span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=0.0260), particularly     between PCA and LCS (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0060), but not among     depth zones (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12t2.gif">Table 2</a>).     There was a significant site x depth interaction     (</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">0.0160). Coral recruit assemblages were     overall dominated by     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ephemeral species such as starlet coral </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">Siderastrea     radians</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> (Pallas     1766) and mustard hill coral Porites astreoides (Pallas 1766),     representing 33% and 31% of the total coral recruit colony abundance.     These were followed by lettuce coral <span style="font-style: italic;">Agaricia     agaricites</span> (Linnaeus     1767), brain coral Diploria strigosa (Dana 1846), and finger coral     <span style="font-style: italic;">Porites porites</span> (Pallas 1766),     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[for a combined 16% (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i1.jpg">Fig. 1</a>).    <br>     </span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Shallow reef zone     abundance of <span style="font-style: italic;">S.     radians</span> reached 3.7 and 3.4colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> at PLC and LCS, respectively.     Abundance of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">P.     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[astreoides</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> reached 2.9 and 2.2colonies/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at PLC and     LCS, respectively. Middle reef zone abundance of Abundance of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">P. astreoides</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> reached 2.7 and     2.0colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"> at PCA and PLC, respectively. </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">S.     radians</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> reached 2.5colonies/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at LCS. <span      style="font-style: italic;"></span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">P.     astreoides</span></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">. </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">Siderastrea     radians</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> was dominant at the deeper zone of LCS     with     2.5colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">. These corals were largely growing on     formerly </span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> species complex dominated habitats.     Most of the dominant     reef-building corals across these habitats died following the 2005     massive coral bleaching event. Nonetheless, recruits members of the </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> species complex were     very rare across the shelf, and were     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[present only in low and sporadic abundance in deeper waters. Only seven     juvenile individuals of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> (2%) and 3 of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. faveolata</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> (0.9%)     were documented out of the 347 recruit colonies found across the 465     surveyed quadrats, suggesting that natural population recovery seven     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[years following the massive post-bleaching coral mortality in 2005-2006     was still very limited for this critically-important reef-building     species complex.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Total coral recruit     density was     significantly different among sites (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0020), but not among     depth     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[zones (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i2.jpg">Fig. 2a</a>). The     highest overall densities were documented at the     deeper zones of PCA and LCS, with 10.5colonies/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and 7.2colonies/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">,     respectively. The highest density of the middle depth zone was observed     at PCA with 6.4colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;">, while the highest density of shallower     zones was observed at LCS with 9.6colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">. Coral species richness     was significantly different among sites (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0130), particularly     between PCA and LCS (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0070), and between PCA     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[and PLC (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0130)     (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i2.jpg">Fig. 2b</a>). No     significant difference among depth zones was observed.     The highest species richness was at deeper zones of PCA (2.9/transect),     PLC (2.6/transect), and LCS (2.2/transect). H&#8217;n was significantly     different among sites (</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">0.0420), particularly     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[between PCA and PLC     (</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">0.0320) (<a      href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i2.jpg">Fig. 2c</a>). The highest H&#8217;n     was     documented at deeper zones of     PCA (0.8912) and PLC (0.7385), followed by the shallow zone of PLC     (0.7385). J&#8217;n was significantly different between shallow and deep     zones (</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-style: italic;">p</span>=</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">0.0310) (<a      href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i2.jpg">Fig. 2d</a>). No     site-specific     effects were observed. The     highest J&#8217;n was observed at the deeper zones of PLC (0.7281), PCA     (0.6830), and LCS (0.6725).</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Percent macrocalgal     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[cover showed no     significant differences among sites or depth zones. Highest values were     documented at the shallow zone of PCA (25.7%), followed by the middle     (23.2%) and deeper depth zone (17%) of LCS (<a      href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i3.jpg">Fig. 3</a>).     Most macroalgae     were Phaeophytes dominated by <span style="font-style: italic;">Dictyota     </span>spp. and <span style="font-style: italic;">Lobophora variegata</span>     Lamouroux 1817. There was a highly significant non-linear negative     correlation (r2=0.6864, p&lt;0.0001) between increasing percent     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[macroalgal cover and declining coral recruit density (<a      href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i4.jpg">Fig.     4</a>). PCO     analysis showed four general clustering patterns of coral reef bottoms,     with one cluster largely dominated by </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">P.     astreoides</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> recruits, and in a     lesser degree by <span style="font-style: italic;">Montastraea     cavernosa</span> Linnaeus 1767, and Agaricia     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[tenuifolia Dana 1846 (<a href="/img/revistas/rbt/v62s3/a12i5.jpg">Fig. 5</a>).     A second cluster was     determined by     abundant </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">S.     radians</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> recruits, followed by </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">A. agaricites</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and <span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-style: italic;">D.     strigosa</span>. A third cluster was dominated by </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">P. astreoides</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">. A final     cluster was dominated by open reef bottoms largely devoid of corals,     and dominated by brown macroalgal overgrowth.    <br>     <br>     </span></font>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font style="font-weight: bold;" size="3"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Discussion</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Coral recruit     communities at remote     Mona Island showed low densities and dominance by short-lived brooder     coral species seven years after the 2005-2006 massive bleaching event     and the subsequent post-bleaching mass coral mortality. Differences in     coral recruit community structure can be attributed to slight variation     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[in percent macroalgal cover as study sites had nearly similar benthic     spatial heterogeneity. Nonetheless, trends in dominance by ephemeral     coral species were widespread across all study sites. Recovery of     largely declining massive reef-building species such as the </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> species complex was very     limited and even non-existent across     extensive reef zones. Instead, dead coral surfaces were largely     overgrown by unpalatable brown macroalgae <span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-style: italic;">L. variegata</span> and </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">Dictyota </span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">spp. Red encrusting algae     <span style="font-style: italic;">Peysonnellia</span> spp. were also     abundant. Mona&#8217;s     isolated reef systems have followed a transitional trajectory leading     to a major phase shift favoring macroalgae and non-reef building,     ephemeral coral taxa. Lack of coral reef recovery following major     disturbances, including climate change, has been a concerning     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[phenomenon across the Caribbean (McClanahan &amp; Muthiga, 1998;     Aronson et al., 2002; Gardner et al., 2003; 2005; Rogers, 2013), and     might have significant long-term ecological and socio-economic     consequences (Buddemeier et al., 2008; 2010; Paddack et al., 2009; Lane     et al., 2013), including regional-scale declines in coral cover and     reef complexity (Alvarez-Flip et al., 2011). We suggest that lack of     net recovery in remote Mona Island&#8217;s reefs could be the combined result     of several mechanisms involving climate change-related post-bleaching     mass coral mortality, chronic YBD disease outbreaks, rapid substrate     dominance and out-competition of remnant corals by brown unpalatable     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[macroalgae, declining herbivory due to long-term fishing impacts, lack     of </span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> population recovery,     altered microbial communities     associated with crustose coralline algae (CCA) that may negatively     affect coral larval settlement cues, and Mona Island&#8217;s reefs limited     connectivity to other reef systems which highly limits potential     successful larval recruitment from other locations.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">The observed trend     of low coral     recruit densities and dominance by short-lived brooder coral species is     very similar to recent observations from other Caribbean reefs where     massive reef-building species have largely declined and have shown     limited or no net recovery (Rogers &amp; Miller, 2006; Miller et al.,     2009; Hern&aacute;ndez-Pacheco et al., 2011; Edmunds, 2013), which     suggest a long-term coral recruitment decline across the region. Mean     coral recruit density ranged from 1.2 to 10.5/</span></font><font     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at PCA, 6.3 to 7.2/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     at LCS, 4.5 to 9.5/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> at PLC in our study. But earlier     studies across     the wider Caribbean showed higher recruit density values than most     recent accounts. Bak and Engel (1979) documented coral recruit     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[densities of 16.8/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> across the 3-9m depth zone, and of 12.9/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> across     the 9-17m depth zone at Cura&ccedil;ao. Rogers et al. (1984) found     coral recruit densities ranging from 13 to 42colonies/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at Salt River     Canyon, St. Croix, USVI across depth ranges similar to this study.     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Carpenter and Edmunds (2006) also found coral recruit colony densities     of 6.2/</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at Belize, 26.7/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at St. Croix, 28.9/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at Barbados, 26.6/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     at Port Antonio, 15.6/</span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> at Bonaire, and 33.8/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> at Grenada. They also     found that highest coral recruit densities correlated with high     densities of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">D.     antillarum</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> and lower percent algal cover. Tomascik     (1991) documented relatively common recruits of </span></font><font     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">,     Siderastrea siderea (Ellis &amp; Solander, 1786), and Diploria spp. on     settlement plates from non-polluted reefs at Barbados. Bak and Meesters     (1999) also found relatively common juvenile colonies of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     species complex, S. siderea, and other massive coral species at     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Cura&ccedil;ao. There has also been evidence that fishing management     can strongly indirectly influence coral recruitment dynamics. Mumby et     al. (2007) documented coral recruit densities ranging from 10 to 14/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     within a no-take marine protected area (MPA), and from 4.5 to 6/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     across non-MPA sites at Exuma Cays, Bahamas. But large massive     Caribbean-wide disturbances, such as recurrent massive bleaching events     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[in 1987, 1998, and 2005 (Eakin et al., 2010), recurrent mass coral     disease outbreaks (Weil, 2004), and the mass mortality of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     (Lessios, 1988) have resulted in a major transition in the ecological     state of coral reefs. A key characteristic of such a change has     included rapidly declining coral recruit densities.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Recent studies have     documented     declining coral recruit densities across the Caribbean. Irizarry-Soto     and Weil (2009) found a decline from 4.8 to 2.8 coral recruit     colonies/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> between 2003 and 2005, and very low     recruit abundance of     massive reef-building species in La Parguera, Puerto Rico. Coral     recruit density within a no-take MPA in Exuma Cays, Bahamas, increased     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[from approximately 3.8/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> for </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">P.     astreoides</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">, 1.4/</span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> for <span style="font-style: italic;">A.     agaricites</span>,     and 2.1/</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> for </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> in 2004 to 8.4/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">, 2.3/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">, and 3.1/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> in     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[2007 for each species, respectively (Mumby &amp; Harborne, 2010). Coral     recruit density outside the MPA shifted from 2.8/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> in 2004 to 3.5/</span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">     in 2007 for </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">P.     astreoides</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">. Densities of 0.6/</span></font><font     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> for </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">A. agaricites</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and     2.2/</span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">m<sup>2</sup></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> for </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. annularis</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> in 2004 showed no     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[significant change outside     the MPA by 2007. Even recent studies from Mona Island have shown a     30-80% loss of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> and </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     faveolata</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> due to YBD outbreaks     (Bruckner &amp; Bruckner, 2006), failed recruitment, minimal     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[re-sheeting, and exposed skeletal surfaces largely colonized by     macroalgae, bioeroding sponges, and hydrocorals (Bruckner &amp; Hill,     2009). Ongoing studies at Mona Island have preliminarily suggested that     a stunning 96% of large-sized colonies of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> species complex     across the same surveyed sites in this study were either killed or are     showing partial mortality due to YBD infections     (Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado, unpublished).</span></font><br     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Rapidly declining     coral recruitment     and lack of coralline community recovery across the Caribbean     significantly contrasts recovery trends documented in isolated coral     reefs off Western Australia where coral cover increased from 9 to 44%     within 12 years of the 1998 massive coral bleaching event by a     combination of coral tissue regeneration of remnant surviving colonies     and coral recruitment (Gilmour et al., 2013). Diaz-Pulido et al. (2009)     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[also documented rapid reef regeneration following the 2006 coral     bleaching-related mass mortality across the Great Barrier Reef due to     rapid regeneration rates of remnant coral tissue, strong coral     out-competition of </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">L.     variegata</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">, a natural seasonal decline in     macroalgal dominance, and an effective MPA system. However, the     benefits from MPAs may not be great enough to offset the magnitude of     losses from acute thermal stress events (Hughes et al., 2011; Selig,     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Casey &amp; Bruno, 2012) if such impacts operate in combination with     other local human-driven factors, including herbivore overfishing     (Mumby &amp; Harborne, 2010).</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">We argue that     shifting benthic     community trajectories have largely impacted coral recruitment     dynamics. The observed shift in coral recruit biodiversity is a     consequence of the massive post-bleaching coral mortality in 2005-2006     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[and has resulted in a transitional shift in benthic community     trajectory under increasing stress associated to climate change     favoring non-reef building taxa. Large-scale (temporal, spatial)     massive coral bleaching episodes can lead to significant mortality by     post-bleaching disease outbreaks (Miller et al., 2006; 2009), which can     potentially lead to a dramatic loss of coral reproductive potential     (Weil et al., 2009), the onset of Allee effects, and to reproductive     failure (Connell, 1997). Coral recruits exhibit an apparent tolerance     to massive bleaching (Mumby, 1999), but evidence of long-term survival     following such disturbances is still very limited. Weil et al. (2009)     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[observed that YBD had deleterious impacts on sexual reproduction in </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">O. faveolata</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">. Significant     physiological fragmentation in </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> and </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     faveolata</span></span></font><font size="2"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-family: verdana;"> colonies from Culebra Island, Puerto     Rico, resulted in     permanently halting sexual reproduction in fragmented remnants since     the 2005 bleaching episode (Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado, unpublished),     similarly to declining reproduction in coral physiological     fragmentation experiments documented elsewhere (Szmant-Froelich, 1985;     Szmant, 1986; 1991; Szmant &amp; Gassman, 1990; Soong 1993). There is     also evidence from the eastern Pacific that most of the recruitment     following a massive bleaching and mortality event occurs largely due to     rapid recruitment of ephemeral, high-recruiting coral taxa which can be     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[different in comparison to the pre-existing coral community     (Medina-Rosas, Carriquiry &amp; Cupul-Maga&ntilde;a, 2005). Therefore,     a shift in benthic community structure trajectory such as the one     documented in Mona Island implies a change from dominance by engineer     species to ephemeral, poor reef builders. Under current and forecasted     climate change trends (Hoegh-Guldberg, 1999), and under current     declining population trends in </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">O.     annularis</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> (Hern&aacute;ndez-Pacheco     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[et al., 2011), the future trajectories of coral reefs may be     significantly compromised.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">We also argue that     shifting     herbivory dynamics, in combination with natural eutrophication pulses,     may indirectly affect coral recruitment dynamics due to algal     out-competition of corals. Severely depleted </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[ style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> populations,     as well as low abundance of large sized fish herbivores (Scaridae),     across the Mona Island shelf (Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado unpublished),     and grazing preferences of remnant grazer guilds (Szmant, 2002) is     probably associated to the significant shift in dominance by </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">L. variegata</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and Dyctiota spp., which     in turn are significantly affecting     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[coral larval recruitment. Low herbivory of unpalatable brown macroalgal     assemblages is a critical factor that may trigger further coral decline     due to out-competition of adult corals, and preemptive out-competition     of coral spat. Both </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">L.     variegata</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> and </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">Dictyota     </span></span></font><font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">spp.     (Box &amp; Mumby,     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[2007), and <span style="font-style: italic;">Ramicrusta</span> spp.     (Eckrich &amp; Engel, 2013) can strongly     out-compete juvenile corals due to shading and abrasive effects, or     inhibit successful coral larval recruitment. Kuffner et al. (2006) also     found experimental evidence that the combined presence of intermingled     unpalatable brown macroalgae and cyanobacteria caused either     recruitment inhibition, avoidance behavior or larval mortality in     multiple coral species. Further, we propose that natural nutrient     enrichment pulses can fuel up algal growth. Physical meso-scale     oceanographic processes such as internal waves or seiches (Wolanski     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[&amp; Delesalle, 1995; Leichter, Shellenbarger, Genovese &amp; Wing,     1998) and gyre currents (Corredor et al., 2004), in combination with     local-scale micro-upwelling associated to strong tidal currents (Shea     &amp; Broenkow, 1982), may bring up deep, nutrient-rich waters towards     Mona&#8217;s narrow shelf. Also, groundwater infiltration might contribute     natural nutrient pulses further triggering macroalgal (Lapointe,     O&#8217;Connel &amp; Garrett, 1990) and cyanobacterial blooms (Littler,     Litter, Lapointe &amp; Barile, 2006). Mona Island is a carbonate     platform with extensive cave systems and groundwater flows documented     to occur even at 20-30 m depths (Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado, personal     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[observations). These factors clearly suggest that management of     herbivory is critical for the conservation of coral reef resilience and     coral recruitment dynamics.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Hughes and Connell     (1999) found     that coral reef assemblages that are similar in coral community     composition, but under different management regimes may show profound     differences in recruitment dynamics and species turnover, with major     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[implications for their ecology, evolution and management. Fully     functional no-take MPAs and recovering populations of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and     fish herbivore guilds seem to have a significant role in fostering     increased coral recruitment rates. According to Mumby et al. (2007),     coral recruit density can increase up to 2-fold within no take MPAs as     a result of reduced fishing pressure and weak predator&#8211;prey     interactions that can create trophic cascades that increase the     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[abundance of grazing fishes and reduce the coverage of macroalgae on     coral reefs, therefore opening new substrate for coral larvae.     Carpenter and Edmunds (2006) found that population recovery of </span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><span      style="font-style: italic;">D. antillarum</span></span></font><font      size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"> is occurring at both     local and regional scales, and that     urchin grazing is creating conditions favoring coral recruitment.     Nonetheless, </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">D.     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[antillarum</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> recovery in Puerto Rico has been patchy     and     spatially limited even three decades after mass mortality (Ruiz-Ramos,     Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado et al., 2011). Long-term trends documented in     Mona Island and elsewhere around Puerto Rico have also shown that brown     macroalgae have become the dominant component of many coral reefs     (Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado, 2005; Ballantine et al., 2008;     Garc&iacute;a-Sais et al., 2008). If macroalgae dominate open available     substrates, they might permanently inhibit coral recruitment either due     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[to direct out-competition or by overgrowing CCA, and in the long run     affect coral reef recovery ability from disturbance (McCook, Jompa     &amp; D&iacute;az-Pulido, 2001). CCA are key reef-building primary     producers known to induce the metamorphosis and recruitment of many     species of coral larvae (Negri, Webster, Hill &amp; Heyward, 2001).     Reef biofilms (particularly microorganisms associated with CCA) are     also important as settlement cues for multiple marine invertebrates,     including corals (Wieczorek &amp; Todd, 1998). CCA is highly vulnerable     to macroalgal overgrowth as well as to increasing SST. Webster et al.     (2011) provided solid experimental evidence that rapid loss of     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[CCA-covered surfaces and its associated biofilms resulted in a massive     failure of coral recruitment due to the permanent effects on CCA&#8217;s     photo-physiology and its inability to produce natural chemical cues for     larval recognition. Coral reefs require high levels of grazing     intensity to prevent further macroalgal blooms from taking place, and     to reopen reef substrate to increasing percent CCA cover to trigger     increased coral larval recruitment. Therefore, reversing low herbivory     should be a critical component to improve coral recruitment success.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Natural recovery of     remote coral     reefs may seem increasingly difficult due to regional scale of     ecosystem decline across the Caribbean which compromise natural     connectivity to other reefs Lack of coral reef recovery also implies     declining coral functional redundancy and coral reef ecosystem     resilience, which could in turn result in a long-term decline in     ecological scales of connectivity. Coral reefs at Mona Island are     high-circulation, oligotrophic, oceanic reef systems, located far from     known anthropogenic pollution sources, but also far from potential     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[source coral reefs. Therefore, genetic isolation due to the     oceanographic barrier associated to strong surface currents across the     Mona Channel between La Hispaniola and Puerto Rico play a critical role     in maintaining high genetic structuring and rendering isolated coral     reefs to largely rely on remnant colony regrowth, colony fragmentation,     and self-recruitment for their natural recovery from disturbance.     Long-distance coral larval dispersal is an unusual event (Baums et al.,     2005; 2006; Vollmer &amp; Palumbi, 2007; Garc&iacute;a-Reyes &amp;     Schizas, 2010; M&egrave;ge et al., 2014) and suggest the paramount     importance of replenishing rapidly declining coral reefs though a     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[combination of novel efforts focused on ecosystem-based approaches     (i.e., managing food webs, enhancing herbivory, increasing percent     cover CCA, and improving coral reproductive stocks).</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Replenishment of     depleted coral     engineer species will require immediate novel efforts (i.e., low-tech     coral farming) to rehabilitate their populations. It will also require     large-scale, ecosystem-based management of reef fisheries to foster the     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[rehabilitation of the entire food web, with particular attention of     recovering herbivore guilds. Alternatives such as propagating and     restocking </span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">D.     antillarum</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"><span style="font-style: italic;">D.     antillarum</span></span></font><font size="2"><span      style="font-family: verdana;"> populations should be implemented     across     shelf-wide scales. These will represent important steps towards     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[fostering improved self-recruitment and buying critical time for     rapidly declining coral reefs to rehabilitate ecosystem resilience and     cope with increasing climate change impacts. Failing to recognize the     importance of recovering herbivory, reducing brown macroalgal cover,     increasing crustose coralline algae (to foster increased coral     recruitment), and propagating key reef-building coral species may     result in losing the last opportunity of saving coral reefs in a     transitional state from falling into an alternative, irreversible     ecological collapse.</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<font style="font-weight: bold;" size="3"><span      style="font-family: verdana;">Acknowledgments</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"></font><br style="font-family: verdana;">     <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">This study was     possible thanks to     the support provided to E.A. Hern&aacute;ndez-Delgado by the National     Science Foundation HRD #0734826 through the Center for Applied Tropical     Ecology and Conservation of the University of Puerto Rico (UPR). We     also acknowledge support provided by UPR Department of Biology and by     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[Capt. Elick Hern&aacute;ndez and the M/V Tourmarine crew.</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <br style="font-family: verdana;">     <hr style="width: 100%; height: 2px;"><font style="font-weight: bold;"      size="3"><span style="font-family: verdana;">References</span></font><br      style="font-family: verdana;">     <br style="font-family: verdana;">     <!-- ref --><div style="text-align: left;"><font size="2"><span  style="font-family: verdana;">Alvarez-Flip, L., C&ocirc;t&eacute;, I. M., Gill, J. A., Watkinson, A. R., &amp; Dulvy, N. K. (2011). 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University of Puerto Rico, Center for Applied Tropical Ecology and Conservation, Coral Reef Research Group, PO Box 23360, San Juan, PR 00931-3360, edwin.hernandezdelgado@gmail.com, carmenbiology@hotmail.com;</span></font><br  style="font-family: verdana;"> <br style="font-family: verdana;"> <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><a name="2"></a><a  href="#5">2</a>. Sociedad Ambiente Marino, PO Box 22158, San Juan, PR 00931-2158, drakho76@gmail.com</span></font><br  style="font-family: verdana;"> <br style="font-family: verdana;"> <font size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;"><a name="3"></a><a  href="#6">3</a>. University of Puerto Rico, Department of Biology, PO Box 23360, San Juan, PR 00931-3360, carmenbiology@hotmail.com</span></font><br style="font-family: verdana;"> <hr style="width: 100%; height: 2px;">     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<div style="text-align: center;"><font style="font-weight: bold;"  size="2"><span style="font-family: verdana;">Received 01-IX-2013 Corrected 31-IV-2014 Accepted 01-IV-2014</span></font></div> <font style="font-weight: bold;" size="2"></font></div>      ]]></body><back>
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