Resumo

VELASQUEZ PEREZ, Luis Guillermo. Central America: fluctuating support for democracies in turmoil between 1996 and 2018. Anuario de Estudios Centroamericanos [online]. 2020, vol.46, pp.336-378. ISSN 2215-4175.  http://dx.doi.org/10.15517/aeca.v46i0.42205.

The article analyzes the attitudes towards democracy that the Latinobarómetro public opinion project has registered between 1996 and 2018 in Central America. The study is divided into three parts: the theoretical and documentary discussion, the analysis of political attitudes with the support of statistical tools and the discussion of the results. First, a review is carried out regarding literature on political culture and democratization in the region, and there is a justification of the conceptual category that was chosen to understand the responses of Central Americans regarding democracy as a form of government; in the second part, a there is a general description of what allows us to observe the time series from a general and logarithmic perspective, as well as the interpretation of the results obtained from the application of the Unit Root test to identify the degree of autocorrelation and the Microsoft Excel forecasting tool to forecast the years 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022; finally, in the third part, the results obtained from the analysis carried out and the tests applied are analyzed from a conclusive narrative.

Palavras-chave : political attitudes; Political culture; democracy; authoritarianism; political attitudes; cyclical crises; time series.

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