SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

 
 issue69Community perceptions of Coexistence with a River: The Case of Barrio Luján and the Ocloro River, Costa RicaThe heat island in Mexico city: a decadal analysis (1950-2010) author indexsubject indexarticles search
Home Pagealphabetic serial listing  

Services on Demand

Journal

Article

Indicators

Related links

  • Have no similar articlesSimilars in SciELO

Share


Revista Geográfica de América Central

On-line version ISSN 2215-2563Print version ISSN 1011-484X

Abstract

OROZCO-AVILA, Alejandra Amaranta; GALEANA-PIZANA, José Mauricio  and  NUNEZ-HERNANDEZ, Juan Manuel. Shared prospective models of land use and vegetation for the Mexico-Guatemala transboundary area. Rev. Geog. Amer. Central [online]. 2022, n.69, pp.389-414. ISSN 2215-2563.  http://dx.doi.org/10.15359/rgac.69/2.14.

The shared border between Mexico and Guatemala is a complex region to analyze due to the diverse dynamics between both countries. One threat to the area is the land-use change, where many drivers of change and environmental conditions make it a priority to analyze. This research studies the land-use changes that occurred between 1990 and 2010; these are used as a basis for constructing a trend scenario to the year 2030 through the use of the multilayer perceptron neural network. The resulting scenario shows the growth of agriculture and urban areas, as well as the loss of forests, other vegetation, and water bodies. This information highlights the need to analyze the socio-environmental implications that this could bring about.

Keywords : land-use change; socioeconomic dynamics; drivers of change; historic analysis; trend scenario; the year 2030.

        · abstract in Spanish     · text in Spanish     · Spanish ( pdf )