Abstract

SILVA, Eliud; PERALTA, Andrea  and  PERALTA, Eric. Excess mortality in Mexico 2020: a preliminary estimate at national and state level. PSM [online]. 2022, vol.19, n.2, pp.104-129. ISSN 1659-0201.  http://dx.doi.org/10.15517/psm.v0i19.47247.

As a direct or indirect consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic, joint other punlic health problems, Mexico is one of the most affected countries in terms of excess mortality, which is generalized and heterogeneous at the state level. That is why, the papers aim is to quantify it at national and subnational level both through the percentage of excess mortality (% 𝐸𝑀) and using differences in life expectancies (𝐸𝑀𝑒𝑥 ) by sex. For (𝐸𝑀𝑒𝑥 ), mortality tables are constructed with specific rates that are estimated through a non-parametric approach so-called controlled and segmented smoothing. The results show the greatest excesses in male population and for some states of the country. Likewise, regarding 𝐸𝑀𝑒𝑥 , strong setbacks in life expectancy can be observed including the Mexico City.

Keywords : mortality excess; COVID-19; life expectancy; smoothing; Mexico.

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