Resumo

CARLO, Franciele Silvia de; OLIVEIRA, Ligia Regina de  e  ANDRADE, Amanda Cristina de Souza. Regional trends and differences in male homicides by firearms in a state in the Legal Amazon, Brazil. PSM [online]. 2021, vol.18, n.2, pp.301-328. ISSN 1659-0201.  http://dx.doi.org/10.15517/psm.v18i2.43577.

Objectives: To analyze the trend and project the firearm homicide rate in young men, according to the health macro-region, in the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil. Methodology: Ecological, exploratory, time trend study that used data from the Mortality Information System. Mortality rates standardized by the world population were calculated. To model the series and predict the firearm homicide rate for the period from 2018 to 2022, the order one autoregressive model - AR (1) was used. Results: The Centro Norte macro-region had the highest firearm mortality rates in most years. The lowest rate in the period occurred in 2013, in the East macro-region. As with the entire state of Mato Grosso, the North, West, South macroregions showed an increasing and significant trend, while in the East, Central North and Central Northwest macroregions the rates remained stable. Conclusion:The mortality of young males by firearms was high especially in the most urbanized macro-regions, with agrarian conflicts and the border region. If the strategies are not changed, homicide rates of young men by firearms in Mato Grosso will continue to be high and/or increasing.

Palavras-chave : Homicide; Gun violence; Health Status Disparities; Men..

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